SEC Football Weekend – Week 5

by Dan M | Posted on Saturday, September 30th, 2017

usa_today_9580635.0ROBERT CORTINEZ

The overall SEC national reputation got back some swagger last
week, led by west division powerhouse #1 Alabama who defeated
Vanderbilt 59-0, and east division stalwart #7 Georgia thumping
Mississippi State, 31-7. These two teams represent the SEC’s best
chance to make the 2017 football championship play-offs. However,
one-loss Florida, LSU, Tennessee, Auburn and even embattled Texas A&M
are all vying for a coveted pay-off, I mean play-off, spot on Oct.
31. This week is shake-up and sift-out week with several key head to
head matchups between east and west leaders. Missouri is off this
Season Results: 23-7; ATS: 14-8

#7 Georgia (4-0) at Tennessee (3-1)
Line: Bulldogs -7.5 / 59
TV: 2:30, CBS
The Bulldogs still have freshman Jake Fromme behind center even
though sophomore sensation Jacob Eason knee injury was supposed to be
healed by week 3. The Fromme led Bulldog offense destroyed Mississippi
State 31-3, so its his job to lose. Tennessee looked pathetic at home
last week, barely beating winless U Mass, 17-14, causing some Vol’s
fans to increase the grumblings surrounding HC Butch Jones.
Georgia’s defense is exceptional across all eleven positions and
will not give an ounce in Knoxville. Last year Tennessee won on a last
second 43 yard hail mary, won’t happen again.
Pick: Georgia 29 Tennessee 24

Vanderbilt (3-1) at #21 Florida (2-1)
Line: Gators -10 / 42
TV: 11:00am / ESPN
Vandy’s embarrassing loss to Alabama last week (59-0) was not a
true indicator of HC Derek Mason’s blueprint for his team. The
Commodores simply had their worst game, at the worst time and
unfortunately on the worst stage, the CBS game of the week.
Meanwhile, Florida escaped Lexington with its 31st victory in a row
over Kentucky. The Gators once again had officiating help with a late
holding call on the Wildcats last drive turning a 30 yard field goal
to win, into a 50 yard field goal to lose. Gator HC Jim McElwain wins
the close ones and has settled on junior QB Jake Del Rio as his
starter to continue Florida’s winning ways.
Pick: Florida 27 Vanderbilt 24

New Mexico State (2-1) at Arkansas (1-2)
Line: Razorbacks -17 / 61.5
TV: 11:00am, SECN
The Hogs get an Aggie team two weeks in a row. Texas A&M broke
Razorback’s hearts last week, winning for the sixth year in a row,
50-43, in OT. Hog HC, Brett Bielema, had several coaching lapses,
including a 15 yard pooch kick-off, after Arkansas took a three point
lead with just under three minutes remaining. That decision gave the
Aggies the ball on the 50 yard line allowing A&M to easily get in
field goal range to tie it up and win in OT.
New Mexico State almost beat Arizona State in its opener, losing
by a touchdown. Arizona State went on to beat #24 Oregon in week 3,
while the Aggies blew out a salty UTEP team, 41-13 . The Hogs bounce
back, but it won’t be easy, New Mexico’s defense is for real.
Pick: Arkansas 33 New Mexico St. 20

E. Michigan (3-0) at Kentucky (3-1)
Line: Wildcats -14.5 / 49.5
TV: 3:00, SECN
Kentucky cannot buy a break. The Wildcats squandered a two
touchdown lead in the 4th quarter and allowed the Gators a narrow
comeback win, 28-27 in Lexington. If Kentucky hadn’t coached scared
and conservative, the highly questionable holding call that took the
‘Cats out of field goal range would never have been a consideration in
the final minute. Kentucky’s offensive line is big and athletic and
will be the difference. Eastern Michigan ain’t no pushover, but
Kentucky HC Mark Stoops will rally his troops to go to 4-1.
Pick: Kentucky 22 Eastern Michigan 16

#24 Miss. State (3-1) at #13 Auburn (3-1)
Line: Tigers -9.5 / 50.5
TV: 6:00, ESPN
This game will decide who’s #2 in the SEC west division.
Mississippi State forgot how good Georgia was in the Athens debacle
last week, while Auburn finally clicked on offense, throttling hapless
Missouri 51-14. Auburn RB Kerryon Johnson broke out with five TD’s
and his QB, Jarrett Stidham finally connected on a deep ball, a 57
yard strike, to WR Nate Craig-Meyers. State’s QB, Nate Fitzgerald,
was bottled up by Georgia last week and the the Auburn Tigers will try
to execute the same defensive front duplicate last week’s Georgia
results. Home team advantage wins this one.
Pick: Auburn 27 Mississippi State 24
Troy (3-1) at #25 LSU (3-1)
Line: Tigers -21 / 47
TV: 6:00, ESPNU
The Troy Trojans aren’t your run of the mill Sun Belt push-over.
Last year, Troy was leading eventual national champ Clemson in the 4th
quarter when a blown call on a fumble allowed Clemson to escape with a
30-24 win in Death Valley. Troy’s defense is allowing opposing
offenses only 95 yards rushing and averages seven tackles for losses
per game. LSU was shaky in its 35-26 win over Syracuse last week and
needs to find some energy for this crucial non-conference tilt. LSU QB
Danny Etling will have to show he can hit the deep ball to open up
the run game, or the Bayou Bengals start the meat of its SEC slate on
a skid.
Pick: LSU 25 Troy 13

S. Carolina (3-1) at Texas A&M (3-1)
Line: Aggies -9 / 49.5
TV: 7:00, ESPNU
The Aggies are coming off a stirring
50-43 OT victory over Arkansas. The win could be the salve to cure the
sickness from the opening season win- turned- loss against UCLA.
A&M’s true freshman QB, Kellen Mond, threw for 216 yards, 2 TD’s, and
rushed for 109 yards including a 79 yard burst to ignite the Aggies.
South Carolina’s field talent on both sides of the ball is still
a huge question mark. HC Will Muschamp’s Gamecocks were beaten two
weeks ago at home by Kentucky and struggled last week in a close home
win against Louisiana Tech. The Gamecocks can’t handle the speed of
A&M’s offense and specialists.
Pick: Texas A&M 31 South Carolina 21

Ole Miss (2-1) at Alabama (4-0)
Line: Tide -28 / 59.5
TV: 8:00, ESPN
Alabama is as good as any team to play for the national
championship in the last five years. Tide QB, Jalen Hurts, has
effortlessly controlled his offense in a manner belying his 20 year
old age. The talent and athleticism on Nick Saban’s team will not get
beat unless they beat themselves or the injury bug hits hard. Ole
Miss QB Shea Patterson, and the rest of the Ole Miss Rebel offense,
will have difficulty with first downs much less touchdowns.
Pick: Alabama 40 Ole Miss 13


Leave a comment

XHTML: You can use these html tags: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <s> <strike> <strong>