SEC game predictions – Week 6

by Dan M | Posted on Saturday, October 7th, 2017


We’re at the halfway mark of the 2017 season and Alabama is still
on top of the FBS mountain. Georgia has powered its way into the the
national play-off picture with Saban’a protege, Kirby Smart emulating
his former team. The SEC’s got some soul-searching to do after LSU
got beat in Baton Rouge by Sun Belt conference member Troy, 27-24 and
Tennessee was blistered at home by Georgia, 41-0. If LSU and Tennessee
don’t turn it around in a hurry their respective athletic departments
will start filling out their coach’s buyout checks.
There are six head to head SEC match-ups this week and the
winners will control their destiny. Mississippi State and Tennessee
are off.
Last week Results: Straight 7-1 ATS 4-4
Season Results: Straight: 30-8 ATS 18-12

#5 Georgia (5-0) at Vanderbilt (3-2)
Line: Bulldogs -17.5 / 40.5
TV: 11:00, ESPN
Georgia was on the wrong side of Vanderbilt’s signature win in
2016 when the Commodores took down the overconfident Dawgs in Athens.
That win propelled Vanderbilt to its first bowl game under HC Derek
Mason and left Georgia fans scratching their heads about letting go of
former HC, Mark Richt. Vanderbilt played better in the loss at
Florida last week than the final score, 38-24, indicated and continues
to get solid play from QB Kyle Shurmur.
Georgia’s performance put Tennessee HC Butch Jones on the red-hot
seat, humiliating the Vols in Knoxville 41-0. The Dawg’s defense may
actually be better than Alabama’s defense. Look for Georgia HC, Kirby
Smart, to stay with freshman QB Jake Fromm and get sweet revenge on
the Commodores in Nashville.
Pick: Georgia 31 Vanderbilt 10

Ole Miss (2-2) at #12 Auburn (4-1)
Line: Tigers -21.5 / 56.5
TV: 11:00am / SECN
Ole Miss was off last week while the Auburn Tigers put a
butt-whupping on Mississippi State, 49-10. Auburn’s Kerryon Johnson
is TD machine scoring three last week and nine for the year. Tiger QB
Jarrett Stidham continues to find his stride with two long scoring
strikes in the victory over State. The Rebels QB, Shea
Patterson,will have to find a rhythm that’s been missing since Ole
Miss’s first two blow-out games and the Ole Miss defense needs to
remember who they are. Auburn had 86,000 people in the stands last
week and should have the same numbers this week. The Tigers win, but
not a blow-out.
Pick: Auburn 27 OIe Miss 17

LSU (3-2) at #21 Florida (3-1)
Line: Gators -3 / 45.5
TV: 2:30, CBS
LSU’s 27-24 loss to Troy may not be the death knell of HC Ed
Orgeron’s tenure as the Tiger’s captain. Troy is a strong team and
should win the Sun Belt conference with ease. LSU can still salvage
five wins out of its remaining seven games but has to beat Florida to
get there. Florida has led a charmed life so far this season beating
Tennessee on a last second Hail Mary and surviving Kentucky in a one
point victory in Lexington. Florida has had a quarterback carousel
this year, but sophomore Frank Felipe is now firmly rooted as the
starter with the loss of Luke DelRio to a season ending shoulder
LSU will have to control the line of scrimmage and do better
than its 0 for 9 third down conversions last week. Mild upset win for
the Bayou Bengals.
Pick: LSU 23 Florida 20

Arkansas (2-2) at South Carolina (3-2)
Line: Razorbacks -2 / 47.5
TV: 3:00 SECN
This game will set the stage for both these programs for the
2017 season. South Carolina opened the season with a road win over
the NC State Wolfpack. The Wolfpack went on to win four in a row
including a victory over Florida State in Tallahassee and is ranked
#24 in the AP poll. South Carolina’s two losses were to Kentucky and
Texas A&M. Arkansas has a home loss to AP ranked #8 TCU, and an
overtime heart-breaker loss to Texas A&M. South Carolina still has to
play Tennessee, Georgia, Florida and Clemson. Arkansas still has
Alabama, Auburn, LSU and the two Mississippi schools. This game is
huge for both programs, their head coaches, thier fans and the rest of
the 2017 season. The home field advantage gets the Gamecocks their
fourth win.
Pick: South Carolina 37 Arkansas 31:

#1 Alabama (5-0) at Texas A&M (4-1)
Line: Tide -26.5 / 54
TV: 6:15, ESPN
The Aggies have become one of the more intriguing teams in the
SEC. After creating a cosmic backlash by allowing UCLA to come back
from 34 down with 17 minutes left in the game, A&M has become a media
darling. HC Kevin Sumlin’s team is playing with renewed confidence
while putting it on the line for their embattled coach.
Unfortunately, there ain’t enough Aggie gunpowder to handle #1
Alabama even if they had beat UCLA. Bama’s QB, Jalen Hurts, has
thrown for almost 750 yards and 6 touchdowns and has rushed for 4
touchdowns while averaging 8.4 yards a carry. Bama’s defense is in
the top five of all defensive categories and that’s after playing
second and third teamers for the majority of the second halves this
year. Hearts are with A&M, but Bama rolls.
Pick: Alabama 40 Texas A&M 17

Missouri (1-3) at Kentucky (4-1)
Line: Wildcats -10 / 61
TV: 6:30, SECN
The “who cares” SEC game is in Lexington this week for the
Kentucky’s third home game in a row. Missouri is so bad their coach
is already playing for next year and pulling Mike Gundy press
conference tirades. Kentucky’s season to this point could have been
unblemished if not for the one-point loss to Florida. The Wildcats
beat Eastern Michigan last week but were lackluster and need to
re-focus for the rest of their SEC schedule. Kentucky has only the
Mississippi schools to beat out of the west and then somehow get a
split with Georgia and Tennessee to find its way to a possible 9-10
win season. Have to beat Mizzou first.
Pick: Kentucky 29 Missouri 22


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