SEC Football Preview – Week 12

by Dan M | Posted on Friday, November 17th, 2017

ATHENS, GA - SEPTEMBER 27: Owen Williams #58 of the Tennessee Volunteers is flagged for a facemask penalty as Williams, Derek Barnett #9 and Todd Kelly Jr. #6 of the Tennessee Volunteers tackle Nick Chubb #27 of the Georgia Bulldogs at Sanford Stadium on September 27, 2014 in Athens, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)


The Auburn Tigers put a war eagle whupping on the previously #1
ranked Georgia Bulldogs, 40-17. Newly minted #1 Alabama had to come
from behind to beat a salty Mississippi State squad.
November has always been the month of attrition in the SEC.
Georgia has wrapped up the East Division, while Alabama and Auburn
have non-conference patsies this week leading up to the Iron Bowl for
the West Division title and an invite to the 2017 CFP. The rest of
the SEC is prioritizing for bowl game positioning.
Last Weeks results: Straight 7-1; ATS: 5-3. Season Results:
Straight 65-15; ATS: 39-29-3

UL Monroe (4-5) at #6 Auburn (7-3)
Line: Tigers -37 / 68
TV: 11:00am, ESPN2
Gus Malzahn’s Tigers housed the former #1 team in the land,
Georgia, by shutting down their running game and forcing Georgia’s
true freshman, Jacob Fromm, into frequent, unmanageable passing
situations. Auburn blazed up the CFP to a #6 ranking and is in
contention to make the final four pending the Iron Bowl next week
against Alabama. Tiger RB ,Kerryon Johnson, is absolutely
scintillating with 17 TD’s on the year. ULM is next to last in the
Sun Belt and has struggled to have four wins on the season. The War
Hawks get rolled by resurgent War Eagle.
Pick: Tigers 37 War Hawks 13

Mercer (5-5) at #2 Alabama (10-0)
Line: Tide -40 / 59
TV: 11:00am, SECN
The Tide regained the top spot in this week’s CFP rankings but
cracks emerged in its defensive armour against Mississippi State. The
Bulldogs led Alabama at halftime and had a chance to tie in the final
minute before falling, 24-17. Alabama has lost three of its starting
four linebackers to injury but their back-ups are still better than
most linebacking units in the SEC.
The FCS Mercer Bears are in fourth place in the Southern
Conference. It will be a sacrificial/money road game for the Bears
on Saturday.
Pick: Alabama 47 Mercer 3
#14 Mississippi St (7-3) at Arkansas (4-6)
Line: Bulldogs -12 / 59
TV: 11:00, CBS
Arkansas fired its athletic director, Jeff Long, on Wednesday,
who hired Bret Bielema five years ago, essentially numbering Bielema’s
days. On the flip side, the most popular coach in the SEC is
Bulldog’s HC, Dan Mullen. Florida and Tennessee are both coveting
Mullen for his player development and sustained success in Starkville.
Mississippi State gave the #1 team in the land, Alabama, all they
could handle losing by a last second touchdown.
The Razorbacks forgot to show up for the second half last week
and got plowed by LSU 33-10. The worst team in the west is still
Pick: Bulldogs 35 Razorbacks 26

Kentucky (7-3) at #7 Georgia (9-1)
Line: Bulldogs -21.5 / 50.5
TV: 2:30, CBS
The Kentucky Wildcats got back on the winning track, blowing out
44-21. Kentucky faces a humbled Georgia Bulldog team that has to win
out and beat either Alabama or Auburn in the SEC championship to make
the CFP final four. Wildcat RB, Benny Snell, is a beast and became
the SEC’s leading touchdown maker in last week’s win. Georgia should
be able to add needed vertical passing wrinkles to its game plan but
will have to unleash RB’s NIck Chubb and Sony Michel to make it to the
top of the mountain.
Pick: Bulldogs 41 Wildcats 30

Wofford (9-1) at South Carolina (7-3)
Line: NL
TV: 3:00, SECN
This game is interesting for both teams. The ferocious Terriers
are in first place in the Southern Conference losing only once this
season. Wofford’s Spartanburg campus is located only 90 miles from
the Gamecocks Columbia campus ensuring a good number of Terrier fans
in the stands. South Carolina handled Florida last week, 28-20, and
will finish in second place in the SEC East division behind Georgia.
South Carolina’s Will Muschamp, says his team won’t overlook Wofford’s
“feared” triple option attack and are focused on all aspects of this
trap game.
Pick: Gamecocks 44 Terriers 13

#20 LSU (7-3) at Tennessee (4-6)
Line: Tigers -15.5 / 45.5
TV: 6:00, ESPN
LSU brutalized Arkansas last week,
33-10. Bayou Bengal QB Danny Etling had two 50 yard plus scoring
tosses to WR, DJ Chark, and RB Darrius Guice had 147 rushing yards
averaging 7 yards a carry. Tennessee got blown out by Missouri and
fired its HC, Butch Jones, leaving the last two games of the Vols
season reduced to tryouts for next year’s new coach. Interim HC,
Brady Hoke is trying to salvage this season by coaching up the seniors
and closing practices which indicates he may have surprises in store
for LSU. Tigers get a close win in Knoxville.
Pick: Tigers 27 Vols 20

Texas A&M (6-4) at Ole Miss (5-5)
Line: Rebels -2.5 / 68
TV: 6:00, ESPN2
The Aggies are hoping to win out and and get an upper level bowl
game. The Rebels have been reduced to a spoiler role due to self
imposed sanctions. A&M freshman QB, Nick Starkel, returned from a
season opening injury and torched New Mexico for 416 yards and 4 TD’s
before sitting out the entire second half. Ole Miss’s QB, Jordan
Ta’amu, is a legit dual threat and is 2-1 after taking over for
injured QB, Shea Patterson. Texas A&M wins this one for Coach Sumlin.
Pick: Aggies 38 Rebels 31

Missouri (5-5) at Vanderbilt (4-6)
Line: Tigers -8.5 / 66.5
TV: 6:30, SECN
Mizzou QB, Drew Lock, leads the nation with 35 TD passes
propelling his Tigers to a four game winning streak after starting the
season 1-5. Vanderbilt has had the opposite trajectory starting the
season 3-0, including a win against Kansas St., but the Commodores
have gone 1-6 since then. Mizzou’s Drew Lock is playing for NFL scouts
and is up to the task.
Pick: Tigers 33 Commodores 21

UAB (7-3) at Florida (3-6)
Line: Gators -10.5 / 48
TV: 3:00, SECN
This week’s “who cares game” will be played in the once proud Ben
Griffin stadium, aka the “Swamp”. The Gators implosion from two year
reigning SEC East champions to a losing season and a head coach’s
resignation, was unexpected to say the least. A UAB upset would be
the final blow before Florida plays its season finale against equally
underperforming Florida State. Gators should win in a squeaker.
Pick: Gators 30 UAB 24


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