SEC Week 1 Predictions

by Dan M | Posted on Saturday, September 1st, 2018



The SEC’s fourteen teams all play non-conference openers, with
five team’s matchups, Alabama, Auburn, Ole Miss, Tennessee and LSU,
having potential impact on a national scale. The rest of the slate are
trap-crap games. Without further ado, here’s the fearless predictions for week one in 2018.
2017 overall results
Straight: 81-18 (82%); ATS: 52-33-3 (61%)

N’ western St. (0-0) at Texas A&M (0-0)
Line: Aggies -4.5 / 66
TV: Thursday 7:30, SECN
Aggies kill the Demons of Northwestern Louisiana despite
distractions from Jimbo’s recruiting transgressions. A&M’s
“scandalous” start to 2018 will be quickly forgotten as the Aggies
steamroll Northwestern in College Station.
Pick: A&M 44  NW. Louisiana 10

Coastal Carolina (0-0) at S. Carolina (0-0)
Line: Gamecocks -29.5 / 60.5
TV: 11:00 a.m, CBS
The Coastal Carolina Chanticleer football team was 3-9 last year
but came within a point, 39-38, of beating Arkansas in Razorback
Stadium.  Not going to be close in this battle of the roosters
(Chanticleer = medieval rooster).
South Carolina is too big, too fast and too experienced. The
Gamecocks get a blowout win to start a potentially, breakthrough
season for Coach Muschamp.
Pick: S.Carolina 47 Coastal Carolina 13

Ole Miss (0-0) at Texas Tech (0-0)
Line: Tech -2.5 / 67
TV: 11:00am, ESPN
Surprisingly, Ole Miss (602 miles) and Texas Tech (518 miles)
will have similar distances to travel to get to their game in the
NFL’s Houston Texans stadium. Texas is a huge state, and the Red
Raiders should be able to bring in fans from all corners to help usher
in a win over a probation-depleted Ole Miss squad.
Pick: Texas Tech 26 Ole Miss 20

Austin Peay (0-0) at #3 Georgia (0-0)
Line: Bulldogs -43 / 61
TV: 2:30, ESPN
Not much going in Athens Georgia except for the biggest cupcake
contest in the SEC to start 2018.  The only mystery surrounding this
game is why in the hell would ESPN televise it?  Who knows, but FCS
Austin Peay Governors will be shellacked by this loaded Georgia team.
Dawg Coach Kirby Smart should be playing third teamers by the start of
fourth quarter.
Pick: Georgia 47 Austin Peay 14

#6 Washington (0-0) at #9 Auburn (0-0)
Line: Tigers -3 / 51
TV: 2:30, ABC
This contest is a bonafide, national champion environment, loser
go-home, in the first game of the season.  This huge battle will
feature two top 10 teams that are expected to vye for their respective
conference’s titles, SEC West and PAC 12 North, which would guarantee
an automatic bid to the playoffs. Both teams have excellent,
honorable, coaches in Auburn’s Gus Malzahn and Washington’s Chris
The Tigers are just simply too rugged for the Huskies.
Pick: Auburn 29  Washington 24

Tennessee (0-0) at #17 West Virginia (0-0)
Line: Mountaineers -9.5 / 61.5
TV: 2:30, CBS
Tennessee takes on West Virginia for the first time ever in these
storied program’s histories.  The Mountaineers lost their last three
games in 2017, falling to 7-6. It was a disappointing finish for HC
Dana Holgorsen, who’s team was rolling behind the play of QB Will
Grier, a Florida Gator transfer.
The Volunteers underwent a complete makeover, with Coach Jeremy
Pruitt bringing an entirely new staff to re-shape this moribund
Tennessee program.
Unfortunately, it won’t happen overnight.
Pick: Mountaineers 38  Volunteers 25

Central Michign (0-0) at Kentucky (0-0)
Line: Wildcats -17 / 50.5
TV: 2:30, ESPNU
The Wildcats will be tested in Lexington by Central Michigan.
The FCS Chippewas were 8-5 last year, losing to Wyoming in the Potato
Bowl.  Kentucky will have to impose its physicality through their
running game via All-SEC RB, Benny Snell.  It’ll be closer than
expected, but the Wildcat’s SEC pedigree wins out.
Pick: Kentucky 33 Central Michigan 20

UT Martin (0-0) at Missouri (0-0)
Line: Tigers -35
TV: 3:00, SECN
Missouri Tiger QB Drew Lock may have the best right arm in the nation.
The senior play-caller threw 44 TD’s last year and has thrown 71 TD’s
over his career.  Tenn-Martin is not capable of defending Lock or
Missouri’s wide receivers. The only issue is the over-under on Drew
Lock’s touchdown passes. Going with 4, Tigers win big.
Pick: Missouir 47 Tenn-Martin 17

E. Illinois (0-0) at. Arkansas (0-0)
Line: Razorbacks -35 / 59.5
TV: 3:00, SECN
The Razorbacks kick off the 2018 season with a new end zone
addition and new optimism projected by first year HC Chad Morris.
Coach Morris named sophomore Chad Kelly as his starter over junior Ty
Storey, a move that is subject to change in this see-saw battle to
lead the offense. Eastern Illinois was 6-5 last year and are projected
to be worse this year. Hogs should show us a glimpse of their mettle
against the over matched Panthers
Pick:  Arkansas 41 Eastern Illinois 13

SF Austin (1-1) at #18 Mississippi St (0-0)
Line: Bulldogs -41 / 65
TV: 6:30, ESPNU
The Bulldogs haven’t been in the AP top 25 preseason poll since
2011. Lot of pressure on a first year coach, Joe Moorhead, to start
his tenure.  Coach Moorhead has suspended star QB, Nick Fitzgerald for
the opener against the Lumberjacks. This distraction won’t affect
State’s overall athletic dominance over an inferior FCS opponent.
Bulldogs win in a rout.
Pick: State 42  S.F. Austin 12

Charleston (0-0) at Florida (0-0)
Line: Gators -40 / 62
TV: 6:30, SECN
The Florida Gators scheduling of Charleston Southern, a small
faith based college in beautiful Charleston, South Carolina gives new
HC Dan Mullen a “gimmee” opening win.  The Buccaneers were 6-5 last
year but play in one of the weakest conferences in the FCS. The last
meeting between the schools was a 62-3 win for Florida. More of the
same on Saturday.
Pick: Florida 55 Charleston Southern 10

Mid Tennessee (0-0) at Vanderbilt (0-0)
Line: Commadores -6.5 / 55
TV: 6:30, SECN
The commodores are only giving cross-state rival Middle Tennessee
2 1/2 points to come to Nashville for a purportedly, first game
beat-down. Vandy beat Middle Tenn St. 26-8 on the road last year. Both
teams have record setting senior quarterbacks in Vandy’s, Kyle Shurmur
( 40 TD’s , 5735 passing yards) and MTSU’s Brent Stockstill (77 TD’s,
8900 passing yards). Comes down to strength in the trenches
Pick: Vandy 22 Middle Tenn. State 17
Louisville (0-0) at Alabama (0-0)
Line: Crimson Tide -25.5 / 53.5
TV: 7:00, ABC
Bama coach, Nick Saban, listed his two stellar QB’s, Tua
Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts, as “co-starters” for this neutral field
opener. Louisville’s head coach, Bobby Petrino, is 75-27 at the
Cardinal’s helm but lost his Heisman winning QB, Lamar Jackson, and 8
defensive starters. Bobby has a new quarterback in 4-star sophomore,
Jawon Pass, breaking in against the #1 ranked team in the nation.
Alabama’s massive interior lines can move mountains and its
linebackers are always NFL quality run-stuffers. Looking for Petrino
and his bunch to just beat the line in this one.
Pick:  Alabama 38 Louisville 16

#8 Miami (0-0) at #25 LSU (0-0)
Line: Hurricanes -3 / 45.5
TV: Sunday,6:30, ABC
In only LSU Coach Ed Orgeron’s second full season, (9-4 last
year) there’s already swamp- talk floating about that his seat is
starting to get “warm”.  That is the passion that surrounds the Bayou
Bengals program, like it or not. Miami’s fan base is ecstatic with
their chosen third-year coach, Hurricane alumni, Mark Richt.  Miami
rose to #2 in the nation last year before three straight losses
dropped them out of playoff contention. This year’s pre-season rank is
the Cane’s highest since 2004 and the expectations are off the chart.
Cajun Ed’s back is against the wall which should bring out his inner Tiger.
Pick: LSU 26  Miami 24


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