SEC Picks – Week 3

by Dan M | Posted on Monday, September 17th, 2018



The biggest SEC surprise was Kentucky beating Florida in Florida
for the first time since the Bee Gee’s, Staying Alive, album.  The
next biggest was the Hog Flop in the Rockies with the Razorbacks
losing an 18 point lead late in the third quarter and getting beat by
hapless Colorado State. The rest of the week went according to plan,
with Georgia and Alabama keeping the pressure cooker on full blast for
national dominance.
Last week’s results: Straight 11-1; ATS: 5-3
Overall:  Straight:  24-2;  ATS 12-10

Murray State (0-2) at Kentucky (2-0)
Line: N/L
TV: Saturday 11:00 AM, SECN
The Might Blue Wildcats took on the Gators in the swamp and
whupped them good, 27-16.  Kentucky used an overwhelming defense and a
healthy dose of RB Benny Snell (47 rushes 300 yds, two TD’s on the
season) to end the 38 year losing streak in the Swamp. Kentucky may be
on to something this year. The ‘Cats get a breather this week with
hapless Murray St.
Pick: Kentucky 37  Murray St. 10
UTEP (0-2) at Tennessee (1-1)
Line: Vols -30 / 55
TV: 11:00 a.m, SECN
No One really knows the identity of this 2018 Volunteer squad. We
still won’t know after the Big Orange takes on UTEP in Knoxville. The
Vols got a beat-down from West Virginia in week 1, and then
slaughtered East Tennessee State, 59-3, last week.  It’ll take an SEC
game to judge this team’s potential.
Pick: Tennessee 44 UTEP 14

Vanderbilt (2-0) at #3 Notre Dame (2-0)
Line: Irish -14 / 53
TV: 1:30 PM, NBC
The Irish are loving life at #8 but didn’t impress anyone last
week, beating Ball State by only 24-16. Notre Dame has perhaps the
easiest schedule in the country the rest of the year with only
Stanford offering any stern opposition.  Vanderbilt throttled high
scoring Nevada, 41-10, and is playing above expectations.  Commodore
QB Kyle Shurmur is poised and showing his stripes and the defense is
finally playing like HC Derek Mason has promised since taking the
Pick: Vanderbilt 27  Notre Dame 24

#12 LSU (2-0) at #7 Auburn (2-0)
Line: Auburn -9.5 / 55
TV: 2:30, CBS
This battle of the West Division, and quite possibly, the CFP
playoffs, is here in only the third week of the season.  LSU’s
surprising domination of Miami catapulted the Ragin Cajuns into the
national spotlight.  Same for Auburn’s dismantling of the west coast’s
strongest team, the Washington Huskies. After each “Tiger” team
enjoyed cupcakes in week 2,  football America gets a bonafide CFP
elimination game.  War Eagle Gus is a just a smidge better and gets
revenge from last year’s loss.
Pick: Auburn 29  LSU 28

Colorado State (1-2) at Florida (1-1)
Line: Gators -20.5 / 61
TV: 3:00, SECN
It would be hard to find two teams coming off two, totally
dissimilar vectors into week 3.  Florida was a two touchdown favorite
against Kentucky and got beat at  home.  Colorado State was a two
touchdown underdog and won at home against Arkansas.  The reality is
that Kentucky is better than expected and Arkansas is worse than
expected.  Gators win but no cover.
Pick: Florida 41  Colorado St. 24

North Texas (2-0) at Arkansas (1-1)
Line: Hogs -7/58
TV: 3:00, SECN
I try my hardest not to be a homer.  I picked Arkansas to win last
week but not covering the 14 point line.  Instead, the Hogs blew a
late 18 point lead, took only eight snaps in the entire 4th quarter,
and put the 25th state to enter the Union into depression. North Texas
is on a tear, winning 10 of its last 13 games, including beating
Arkansas’s Coach Chad Morris SMU team by three touchdowns last year.
The Mean Green steal one in Fayetteville.
Pick: North Texas 31  Arkansas 27

#1 Alabama (2-0) at Ole Miss (2-0)
Line: Tide -21 / 59
TV: 6:00, ESPN
The Crimson Tide manhandled a pretty good Arkansas State team,
57-7, and expended little effort in doing so.  Ole Miss put up 76
points against Southern Illinois but allowed 41 points by the Rebel
defense. Alabama ain’t gonna play around with these land sharks and
will put the Mississippians to bed.
Pick: Alabama 40  Ole Miss 17

Middle Tenn (1-1) at #3 Georgia (2-0)
Line: Bulldogs -32.5 / 52
TV: 6:15, ESPN2
Georgia is, once again, Georgia. Dawg HC Kirby Smart is the real
deal and his team takes no prisoners.  Georgia wiped out a good South
Carolina team, 41-17, in a road win that probably decided the SEC East
division title. This week will be a brief exercise in futility for
Middle Tennessee st.
Pick: Georgia 55  Middle Tennessee St 9

Louisiana La.(1-0) at #16Miss State (2-0)
Line: Bulldogs -33 / 53
TV: 6:30, SECN
The Bulldogs are keeping pace with the rest of the SEC West, by
putting a whupping on Kansas St. in Manhattan, KS, 31-10.  Only
problem is that any of  the SEC West’s top four teams, Alabama,
Auburn, LSU and Mississippi St., could just about win every other
conference  in America.   That being said, Bulldogs roll.
Pick: Mississippi St. 48 La. Lafayette 13

UL Monroe (2-0) at Texas A&M (1-1)
Line: Aggies -13.5 / 54
TV: 6:30, SECN
The Aggies showed their worth last week, almost clipping the #2
ranked Clemson Tigers before falling 28-26 in College Station.  They
get a breather this week before heading into the brutal West division
Pick: Texas A&M 38  La. Monroe 17

Missouri (2-0) at Purdue (0-2)
Line: Tigers -7 / 50
TV: 6:30, BTN
So far this intrepid reporter has correctly picked Missouri’s QB,
Drew Lock’s, TD total to the exact number, four in week one, and five
in week two as the Tigers have roared to a 2-0 record.  On the other
hand, the Boilermakers are 0-2 and may be the worst team in the Big
10.  The Tigers win this one but it’ll be close. Drew Lock’s over
under on TD’s is three.
Pick: Missouri 24  Purdue 20

Marshall (2-0) at South Carolina (1-1)
Line: cancelled
TV: 6:30, ESPNU
The Gamecocks didn’t show up last week at home against the Georgia
Bulldogs. This week’s game against Marshall is cancelled due to
Hurricane Florence.  Prayers to the East Coast and the Carolinas,
ya’ll be safe and take care of those who can’t take care of


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