SEC Game Predictions- Week 4

by Dan M | Posted on Friday, September 21st, 2018

STARKVILLE, MS - NOVEMBER 11:  Nick Fitzgerald #7 of the Mississippi State Bulldogs carries the ball during the second half of an NCAA football game against the Alabama Crimson Tide at Davis Wade Stadium on November 11, 2017 in Starkville, Mississippi. (Photo by Butch Dill/Getty Images)


The big news in the SEC was the LSU Tigers upset of Auburn in a
road win that will likely determine the SEC West division crown. Cajun
Ed steered his former D-II  kicker Cole Tracy  (graduate transfer from
tiny Assumption College in Worcester Massachusetts) into SEC stardom
with his 42 yd game winning kick against #6 Auburn. Helluva kick,
helluva story, google it.
The impact games for this week are #1 Alabama @ # 22Texas A&M and
surprisingly,  #14 Mississippi State @ Kentucky.  Let’s get it on.
Last week’s results: Straight: 9-2; ATS  8-2
Season results:  Straight: 33-4; ATS 20-12

#2 Georgia (3-0) at Missouri (3-0)
Line: Bulldogs -14.5 / 65.5
TV: Saturday 11:00 AM, ESPN
The Missouri Tigers are rallying around potential NFL first round
pick, Drew Lock, to help energize second year HC Barry Odum’s
undefeated Tigers. Lock may have the strongest arm in the country but
it aint’ enough to tame the ‘Dawgs.  Georgia QB, Jake Fromm, and the
the Dawg defense show up Missouri’s stellar senior. Just too much
talent on Coach Smart’s side of the ball.
Pick: Georgia 41  Missouri 28

Kent State (1-2) at Ole Miss (2-1)
Line: Rebels -28 / 74.5
TV: 11:00 a.m, SECN
One note of interest, both Nick Saban and Lou Holtz graduated from
Kent State just in case you need this factoid for a trivia game. Last
week, the Ole Miss Rebels scored the game’s first touchdown in
Tuscaloosa, but failed to touch the scoreboard again, getting torched
62-7, by #1 Alabama.  The Kent State Golden Flashes were similarly
blown-out, 63-10, by #10 ranked Penn State.  It’ll be another blow out
this week,  but this one in favor of Ole Miss.
Pick: Ole Miss 46  Kent St. 14

#22 Texas A&M (2-1) at #1 Alabama (3-0)
Line: Tide -27 / 61
TV: 2:30 PM, CBS
Aggie HC Jimbo Fisher gave #2 Clemson a run for their money in
week 2, losing by only 2 points, 28-26.  The Aggies defense is strong,
their QB Kellen Mond is playing with a ton of confidence (824 passing
yds., 6 TD’s) and they have super quick scat back, Trayveon Williams.
Alabama will be Alabama, which is rock walls on the d-line and
0-line will be simply too strong for A&M. This game is the pick of the
week against the line.
Pick: Alabama 36  Texas A&M 21

South Carolina (1-1) at Vanderbilt (2-1)
Line: Gamecocks -2.5 / 51
TV: 3:00, SECN
Hurricane Francis kept the Gamecocks from going 2-1 on the year
while Vanderbilt squandered three scoring opportunities in the red
zone against Notre Dame to lose 22-17.  Vandy is better than expected,
and is playing sound football on both sides of the ball.  Commodore
QB, Kyle Shurmur is for real, going with the homies.
Pick: Vanderbilt 29  South Carolina 24

La Tech (2-0) at #6 LSU (1-1)
Line: Tigers -20 / 50.5
TV: 6:00, ESPNU
The Bayou Bengals are on a torrid, hot streak putting an arctic
freeze on HC Ed Orgeron’s supposed pre-season “hot” seat.  In only
three games the Tigers have beaten the #8 ranked team (Miami) and the
#6 ranked team (Auburn).  No cupcakes on this early schedule until
now.  Louisiana Tech is a solid team but Coach Ed won’t make the same
mistakes he made in the upset loss to Troy last year.
Pick: LSU 33  Louisiana Tech 10

#14 Miss State (3-0) at Kentucky (3-0)
Line: Bulldogs -10 / 54
TV: 6:00, ESPN2
The Vegas boys have this game supposedly figured out with the
Bulldogs established as a near double digit favorite. Not so fast my
friends.  Kentucky was a two touchdown dog against Florida in the
swamp and bona fide. The Wildcats make some noise at home and upset
the #14 ranked team in the nation. Go Cats, the new big blue.
Pick: Kentucky 30  Mississippi St. 28

Florida (2-1) at Tennessee (2-1)
Line: Gators -4.5 / 48
TV: 6:00, ESPN
The Florida Gators appear to have righted their ship, after
methodically crushing Colorada St. last week, 48-10.  Tennessee was
able to dispatch UTEP
24-0 in Knoxville but are still a huge question mark in the SEC.
Florida has to win this game to have a chance in the SEC East but will
have to beat the Vols and their 100,000+ fans.
Pick: Florida 35  Tennessee 33

Arkansas (1-2) at #9 Auburn (2-1)
Line: Tigers -30 / 56.5
TV: 6:30, SECN
The Arkansas Razorbacks are truly bereft of talent, and so far,
coaching prowess, after getting blown out by Sun Belt conference
mid-major, North Texas, 44-17, in Fayetteville.  War Eagle Nation is
supremely pissed off after losing a tough SEC West home game to LSU.
The Auburn Tigers are looking for an outlet to vent their frustration
and will have one against Arkansas. After last week’s debacle with
sophomore QB, Cole Kelley, the Hogs turn to junior QB, Ty Storey, to
establish its moribund offense. No matter, the Razorbacks will be
beaten soundly by the Tigers.
Pick: Auburn 43 Arkansas 17


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