SEC Game Predictions- Week 3

by Dan M | Posted on Friday, September 13th, 2019

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#4 LSU convinced the AP voters that they really, really are
committed to the spread offense and senior QB, Joe Burrow. The Tigers
led the SEC charge vaulting from #6 to # 4 in the AP top 10. The Bayou
Bengals are joined by #2 Alabama, #3 Georgia, #8 Auburn, and # 9
Florida giving the SEC half of the top 10 teams in this week’s poll.
Somebody tell this intrepid reporter when the last time the Big 12,
Big 10, PAC 12, or ACC accomplished this feat? The SEC, “it just feels
like home” in the Top 10. The Vanderbilt Commodores get a much needed
off-week after getting destroyed by Georgia and Purdue to start the
2019 season.
Last week Results: Straight 12-1 / ATS: 5-8
Season Results: Straight; 20-5; ATS: 12-12-1

Arkansas State (1-1) at #3 Georgia (2-0)
Line: Bulldogs -32 / 58
Time/TV: ESPN2, 11:00 a.m.
The Red Wolves of Arkansas State got an unexpected, emotional
return of their head coach, Blake Anderson, after the loss of his
wife, Wendy, to cancer three weeks ago. A-State went on to
pulverize UNLV, 43-17. Georgia had a ho-hum victory over Murray State
63-17, with all the offensive 1’s and 2’s contributing to the Bulldogs
nine touchdown day. Georgia QB Jake Fromm is patiently waiting for
the big day to show is big arm, but won’t be this week. Bulldog HC
Kirby Smart will take it easy on his coaching brethren.  Prayers for
Coach Anderson.
Pick: Georgia 44  Arkansas State 17

Kansas State (2-0) at Miss. State (2-0)
Line: -7.5 / 52
TV/TIME: ESPN, 11:00 a.m.
Mississippi State dispatched Southern Miss last week, 38-15, but
will face a much sterner test this week against the Kansas State
Wildcats. First year Wildcat head coach, Chris Klieman, is also 2-0
with blow-out, albeit expected, victories over Nichols State and Ball
State. Coach Klieman was formerly the head coach of FCS powerhouse,
North Dakota State, where he went 69-6 and won four FCS national
championships in his five year tenure. Plain and simple, this man can
coach. The Bulldogs will have to try and outmuscle their Big 12
counterparts with some SEC brutality. Look for Mississippi State head
coach Joe Moorhead to establish his run game and out physical the
Pick: Mississippi State 24 Kansas St. 20

Chattanooga (1-1) @ Tennessee (0-2)
Line: -28 / 51.5
TV/TIME: SEC Network, 11:00 a.m.
Odds are that there would have been scarce bettors willing to
wager that the Tennessee Volunteers would be 0-2 after their first two
home games in 101,000 seat capacity Neyland Stadium. The loss to FCS
Georgia State and double overtime loss to BYU were coaching fiascos.
If the Vols were to get beat by Chattanooga, head coach Jerermy Pruitt
should be fired on the spot and argument made that no buy-out be paid
due to coaching misfeasance. It won’t happen but one could dream that
college athletics would return to rational, logical responses to
coaching duds rather than cash rewards.
Pick: Tennessee 55 Chattanooga 20

#2 Alabama (2-0) at South Carolina (1-1)                                                                                                                        Line: +25.5 / 61.5
TV:/TIME: CBS, 2:30 p.m.
The question to be answered by the Gamecocks v. Tide game this
week is just how good is North Carolina? North Carolina beat South
Carolina, 24-21,in week one. Florida rode their opening season victory
over Miami to an AP #9 ranking in this week’s poll.  North Carolina
then beat Miami, 28-25, to go 2-0 and 1-0 in ACC play. So is North
Carolina that good or is Miami that bad? Probably a little of both.
Alabama is just Alabama winning its first two games by a margin of
104-13. QB Tua Tagovaila has thrown for 563 yards and 7 TD’s. WR Jerry
Jeudy has over 100 yards receiving in both games and 4 TD’s.  Also,
factor in that both players have yet to play in the fourth quarter.
Bama will establish a run game early but look for South Carolina to
cover at home.
Pick: Alabama 33  South Carolina 13

S.E Louisiana (1-0) at Ole Miss (1-1)
Line: -31 / 53
TV/TIME: SEC Network, 3:00 p.m.
The Ole Miss Rebels took advantage of an out of sync Arkansas
team, soundly beating the Hogs, 31-17. Ole Miss’s redshirt frosh
quarterback, Matt Corral, garnered SEC freshman player of the week for
his 246 yds passing yds on just 24 attempts, and 2 TD’s.  Corral was
very adept at roll-outs and quick releases, the very reason he was
highly recruited out of California. Southeastern Louisiana got a rest
last week when their game against Bethune Cookman was cancelled due to
Hurricane Dorian. They have a #23 ranking in the FCS top 25, so the
Rebels can’t overlook this athletic Lion’s team.
Pick:  Ole Miss 37  S.E. Louisiana 10

Colorado State (1-1) at Arkansas (1-1)
Line: -10 / 63.5
TV/TIME: SEC Network, 3:00 p.m.
The Ram’s head coach, Mike Bobo is a class act. Coach Bobo turned
down a $100,000 bonus owed to him this year for “staying” as the Rams
head coach for five years.  He said he didn’t feel he earned it, after
his team went 3-9 last year. Stay classy, Mike Bobo. Colorado State
hung with arch rival Colorado trailing 24-21 at halftime before
imploding with two gift touchdowns in the second half, losing 52-31.
The Rams then wasted Western Illinois, 38-13.  The Hogs are coming off
a ding-dong 31-17 loss to Ole Miss that included several missed
scoring opportunities and missed tackles. New starting QB, Nick
Starkel, started the second half and threw for over 200 yards and a
TD. He also had a 40 yd TD strike reversed on line-up penalty. The
cynic in me says take Colorado State, but Nick Starkel may become
“Nick Sparkle” after this game.
Pick: Arkansas 34  Colorado State 20

Kent State (1-1) at #2 Auburn (2-2)
Line: -35.5 / 54
TV/TIME: ESPN2, 6:00 p.m.
Auburn did not overwhelm in last week’s  victory over Tulane. The
Tiger offense got two TD’s from QB Bo Nix and almost a hundred yards
(96 yds) from RB JaTarvious Whitlow but couldn’t pull away in a 24-6
sleeper win.  Auburn’s defense was outstanding allowing only a field
goal in the first and fourth quarter. Kent State got walloped in their
opener against Arizona State and then barely squeezed by FCS Kennesaw
State, 26-23 in overtime.  Auburn should pick up the pace in this game, the
Gus Bus needs a brisk tune-up before opening SEC play next week
against #16 Texas A&M.
Pick: Auburn 44 Kent State 10

#9 Florida (2-0) at Kentucky (2-0)
Line: +8 /
TV/TIME: ESPN, 6:00 p.m.
Dan Mullen and his #9 Florida Gators endured the first Kentucky
victory in the Swamp in 40 years. There was nothing to be ashamed
about as the Wildcats went on to a 10-3 season and #12 national
ranking to end the season. This year, the Kentucky and Florida teams
are polar opposites. Florida brings back almost all its skill players
while Kentucky lost more than half of their offense from last year’s
team.  Kentucky also lost their entire secondary not to mention three
defensive players, to the NFL. Still, it’s a road game in the SEC and
Big Blue won’t roll over. Kentucky’s new starting QB, freshman Sawyer
Smith will have to win the battle against Florida’s seasoned and cocky
QB, Feliepe Franks.
Pick: Florida 31  Kentucky 20

Lamar (2-0 ) at #16 Texas A&M (1-1)
Line: -43.5 / 63
TV/TIME: ESPNU, 6:00 p.m.
The Lamar Cardinals out of Beaumont Texas, get to play cannon
fodder for the Aggies in College Station. The “undefeated” Cardinals
beat NAIA Bethune 65-16 and got an overtime field goal to best
Mississippi Valley State, making them 2-0.  Meanwhile, A&M went on the
road to #1 Clemson last week and suffered a manageable loss, 24-10, to
the best team in America. The Aggie defense is solid but quarterback
Kellen Mond is erratic at times and seems delayed in his decision
making.  This in-state scrimmage will be just what the doctor ordered
to right Texas A&M before getting Auburn next week.
Pick: Texas A&M 48 Lamar 6

Northwestern State (0-2) at #4 LSU (2-0)
Line: -51 / 68
TV/TIME: SEC Network,   6:30 p.m.
The Northwestern Demon Deacons got beat by over 20 points in their
first two games. Ouch. Now they travel from Natchitoches down the
road to Baton Rouge to face big brother #4 LSU in a dreaded night game
in Death Valley. Ouch, ouch. Cue the beer showers, student body
theatrics and you got a recipe for creole annihilation of cajunesque
proportions. LSU will have every starter resting by halftime. This
recipe will be followed for the next two weeks, as the Tigers get
Vanderbilt and Utah State before being tested by Florida. LSU HC Ed
Ogeron will not hurt his little brothers too bad.
Pick:  LSU  46  Northwestern State 7

S.E Missouri St. (1-1) at Missouri (1-1)
Line: -34 / 67
TV/TIME: SEC Network, 6:30 p.m.
I’m sorry, but no one, absolutely no one, outside of these two
schools boundaries will even know this game is taking place Saturday
night. The SEMO Redhawks are an FCS school located in Cape Girardeau
just three hours from Mizzou’s campus in Columbia. They will sneak
into fabulous downtown Columbia, take their $425,000 and sneak out.
The Tigers bounced back from their season opening loss to Wyoming and
throttled West Virginia 38-7. Will be even worse this week for the
Pick: Missouri 57  SEMO 10


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