SEC Game Predictions- Week 4

by Dan M | Posted on Friday, September 20th, 2019

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ROBERT CORTINEZ
RCORTINEZ2@HOTMAIL.COM

Last week went as expected but for the Mississippi State Bulldogs
losing at home to Kansas State.  Although I didn’t pick the Wildcats
to win, it was foreshadowed that Kansas State’s new head coach, Chris
Klieman, is a beast of a coach…and he proved just that winning,
31-24, in Stark Vegas. Well done Wildcats.
The rest of the SEC, including the five in the AP Top 10 (#2
Alabama, #3 Georgia, #4 LSU and #9 Florida) did as expected and won
their respective contests last week. This week we have a national
title aspirations match-up with #3 Georgia welcoming #7 Notre Dame to
Athens, and several other intriguing matchups.
Last week results: Overall- 10-1 / ATS: 7-2-2
Season results: Overall – 30-6 / ATS: 19-14-3

#8 Auburn (3-0) at #17 Texas A&M (2-1)
Line: Aggies -3.5 / 48
Time/TV: 2:30, CBS
The CBS SEC game of the week will be a doozie. Auburn’s Freshman
quarterback Bo Nix gets his first true college road game in College
Station. A&M must defend Kyle Field to be relevant in the 2019
college football national conversation.  Aggie QB Kellen Mond has
looked morose at times leading his team and needs to get some fire in
his belly.  The Tigers defense can be suffocating and needs a
consistent, whole game effort. Auburn has the better talent but can’t
let A&M get out to a fast start.
Pick: Auburn 23 Texas A&M 20

Southern Miss. (2-1) at #2 Alabama (3-0)
Line: Tide -38.5 / 61.5
Time/TV: 11:00 a.m., ESPN2
Alabama has not been tested this year and the song remains the
same in this game. The Southern Miss Golden Eagles are 2-1, but their
wins were against cupcakes and their loss was a blow-out loss to
Mississippi State, 38-15.  Bama’s only test so far this year is Nick
Saban’s test with the networks to get rid of hot and humid game times.
Alabama’s Tua Tagliviola adds to his Hesiman chances with another
ho-hum blow-out win in Tuscaloosa.
Pick: Alabama 48 Southern Miss 10

#4 LSU (3-0) at Vanderbilt (0-2)
Line: -24 / 62.5
Time/TV: 11:00 a.m., SECN
Tiger quarterback, Joe Burrow has thrust himself into Heisman
talk, throwing for 1,122 yds, 11 touchdowns and only two interceptions
in his first three games. The 6’4”, 216 lb. Purdue transfer has been
“all that” and more for LSU’s head coach, Ed Ogeron. Vandy tries to
shrug off two consecutive drubbings at the hands of Georgia and Purdue
and will try to at least challenge the invading Cajuns. Commodore
fans may need to choose music alley instead of Vanderbilt Stadium this
Saturday morning
Pick: LSU 41   Vanderbilt 20

Tennessee (1-2) at #9 Florida (3-0)
Line: Gators -14 / 49
Time/TV: 11:00 a.m., ESPN
The Vols finally played up to the talent level of their team,
destroying Chattanooga 45-0 in Knoxville.  The Mocs were down 38-0 at
halftime enabling Tennessee to rest its one’s and two’s in the second
half. Florida was outplayed by Kentucky and lost their QB Feliepe
Franks to a season ending injury. The Gators still won the road game
in Lexington, 28-20, with the benefit of a couple of questionable
calls by the refs in the fourth quarter.  Tennessee will hang tough
this week, but the Gators should be able to pull this one out in
Gainesville.
Pick: Florida 28  Tennessee 20

#23 California (3-0) at Ole Miss (2-1)
Line: Rebels -2.5 / 41.5
Time/TV: 11:00 a.m / ESPNU
The Ole Miss Rebels couldn’t put away South East Louisiana last
week and were only leading going into the 4th quarter,
34-29. The Rebels got 2 field goals in the fourth quarter to
eventually win by 11 points, 40-29.  The California Golden Bears are
undefeated and beat #22 Washington, 20-19, in Seattle, for its first
road win against a top 25 team since 2009.  Ole Miss’s defense was
horrid against SE Louisiana in Oxford, and the Rebels just aint’ got
the stock to stir this PAC -12 pot..
Pick: California 34 Ole Miss 20

Kentucky (2-1) at Mississippi State (2-1)
Line: Bulldogs -6 / 48.5
Time/TV: 3:00 p.m., SEC Network
The Bulldogs were upset by Kansas State last week, but no one
really knew how good of a coach, Chris Klieman is , winning 4 FCS
crowns in five years at South Dakota State. Kentucky should have won
last week against Florida but just couldn’t get out of their own way
with penalties and missed chip-shot field goals. Stark Vegas’s running
back Kylin Hill is the #3 ranked rusher in all of FBS with 431 yards
and three 100 yard+ games to start 2019.  Kentucky is better than most
thought the Wildcats would be but don’t have enough firepower to beat
the Bulldogs on the road.
Pick: Mississippi State 27  Kentucky 17

South Carolina(1-2) at Missouri (2-1)
Line: Tigers -9.5 / 61
Time/TV: 3:00, SECN
South Carolina is the enigma of the SEC East. The Cocks got beat
by North Carolina in week one, blew out Charleston by 62 points in
week 2, and got a back-door touchdown to cover the line against
Alabama in week 3.  Missouri underperformed in Wyoming, losing in week
one, and rolled in week two and three winning by an average of 40
points against West Virginia and SEMO. Going with the upset in the
Battle of the Columbia’s, Gamecock defense stiffens Tiger quarterback
Kelly Bryant.
Pick: South Carolina 20  Missouri 17

San Jose St. (1-1) at Arkansas (2-1)
Line: Razorbacks -20.5 / 61
Time/TV: 6:30, SECN
Razorback quarterback, Nick Starkle, put the sparkle in the Hogs
offense and led Arkansas to a 55-34 win over Colorado State.  The Hogs
defense was porous, allowing the Buffalos to tie the game at 34 apiece
going into the 4th quarter. Arkansas then got a fumble return TD, and
a rumbling, bumbling 62 yd. TD from tight end Cheyenne O’ Grady to put
the game away. San Jose State graciously accepts $1.5 million to help
the Hogs better their 2018 win total by one, to 3 wins in 2019. No
surprises, Arkansas rolls.
Pick: Arkansas 55  San Jose St. 17

#7 Notre Dame (2-0) at #3 Georgia (3-0)
Line: Bulldogs -14.5 / 58
Time/TV: 7:00, CBS
Simply put, this is the national collegiate game of the week.  A
top 10 matchup between two storied programs requires, at a minimum, a
10 second moment of silence every day until game time. Dawg QB Jacob
Fromm has already competed in a national championship game in his
young career.  Irish head coach, Brian Kelly, coached his team to a
perfect regular season record last year, 12-0, but got blown out in
the college football playoffs by Clemson, 30-3. Georgia coach, Kirby
Smart relishes the marquee match-ups and will impose his will on the
leprechauns.
Pick: Georgia 33 Notre Dame 21

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