SEC Game Predictions- Week 7

by Dan M | Posted on Friday, October 11th, 2019

Image result for LSu vs Florida Football


The 2019 College Football Playoff carousel got less crowded with
Florida’s defensive domination over Auburn freshman QB Bo Nix. Gator
HC Dan Mullen’s defense held the Tiger signal caller to 147 yards
passing on 11 of 27 attempts and forced 3 interceptions. That loss
knocks Auburn out of the top 10 and most certainly, with remaining
games against LSU and Alabama, out of this year’s CFP.
This week the SEC continues to bring joy to the rest of the
nations’s conferences as #7 Florida travels to #5 Baton Rouge to take
on LSU. The loser gets an early exit from this year’s CFP
Got a full slate of games (7) this week, with only Auburn getting
the respite.
Last week’s results:  Straight: 4-1 ATL: 3-2
Season Results: Straight  47-9 ATL 30-23-3

South Carolina (2-3) at #3 Georgia (5-0)
Line: Bulldogs 23.5 / 52.5
Time/TV: 11:00 a.m / ESPN
Georgia covered the line against Tennessee last week scoring a
late defensive TD, and winning 43 -14. The Bulldogs started out slow,
allowing a 14 point Volunteers first quarter, but then the Dawg
defense shut it down. South Carolina had last week off to get ready
for Athens but even a month off wouldn’t help the Gamecocks. HC Kirby
Smart’s defense is allowing only 59 rushing yards a game, and the
Bulldogs offense is averaging over 250 rushing yards per game. Georgia
QB, Jake Fromm, has tasted national championship wine and wants
another sip.    South Carolina HC Will Mushcamp should cover this game
but loses his fourth of the year.
Pick: Georgia 34  South Carolina 13

Mississippi State (3-2) at Tennessee (1-4)
Line: Bulldogs -7 / 53
Time/TV: 11:00a.m / SECN
This game is a little bit of an enigma. The Bulldogs got blown out
by Auburn
56-23 two weeks ago.  Tennessee played Georgia close for one half last
week but failed to score in the second half, losing 43-14. Tennessee
true freshman Brian Maurer fired a 73 yard pass on Tennessee’s second
play from scrimmage giving hope to the Vol faithful. Tennessee is
downright begging for a victory.  Mississippi State needs this win to
get back to a bowl consideration.
The Bulldogs have to negotiate  Alabama, LSU, A&M and Ole Miss,
while chalkboarding wins against Arkansas and Abilene Christian. Vols
HC Jeremy Pruitt is on borrowed time and if Tennessee fails to  win
this one, Coach Pruitt’s orange clad fate is sealed.
Pick: Tennessee 24  Mississippi State 21

#1 Alabama (5-0) at #24 Texas A&M (3-2)
Line: Tide -17 / 61
Time/TV: 2:30 / CBS
The Crimson Tide’s QB, Tua Tagliviola, is the leading Heisman
Trophy candidate halfway through the 2019 season. Tua has thrown for
1718 yards, 23 TD’s and no interceptions. Bama’s running game is
solid as usual with Najee Harris (6’ 3”and 230 lbs) averaging 6.2 yds
a carry and just under 70 yds a game. If it weren’t for the Tides
prolific receiving crew, Harris would be near the top of NCAA rushing
stats.  Texas A&M is battling to stay relevant but head coach Jimbo
Fisher ain’t the messiah the College Station blue bloods paid $7
million a year for to lead the Aggies to the promised land. The Aggies
may be the most over-ranked team in the AP Top 25. A&M almost got beat
on a neutral field by Arkansas and this “other” team that starts with
an “A” will bust up Aggie dreams.
Pick: Alabama 44  Texas A&M 17

UNLV (1-4) at Vanderbilt (1-4)
Line: Commadores -14.5 / 57
Time/TV: 3:00 / SECN
Every week we get the “who cares” SEC game, and this week’s is a
doozie.  Vanderbilt Stadium has a 40,000 seat capacity and the
Commodores will be lucky to get more than 20,000 butts in the seats.
UNLV Running Rebels aren’t very good, losing to Arkansas State,
Northwestern, Wyoming and #14 Boise St. Vanderbilt’s four losses were
to #3 Georgia, #5 LSU, Purdue and Ole Miss.  Vandy’s losses are
quantitatively better than UNLV’s losses. Vandy HC Derek Mason is a
good coach and a good man but it’s just hard to win at the Harvard of
the South. Mason gets this game and RB Ke’Shawn Vaughn notches a 150
yard game to lead the Dores.
Pick: Vanderbilt 28  UNLV 17

Ole Miss (3-3) at Missouri (4-1)
Line: Tigers -12.5 / 57
Time/TV: 6:00 / ESPN2
The Tigers and the Rebels are both seeking a break-out win to
propel them to the next level. Missouri’s mercenary QB, Kelly Bryant,
hurt his knee in last week’s win over Troy but the Tigers didn’t need
him winning easily, 42-10.  Mizzou scored all its points in the first
half, so Kelly Bryant’s absence wasn’t missed at all. The Rebels
thoroughly dominated Vanderbilt, winning 31-6.  Ole Miss seems to be
just about ready to break through to the next level of SEC strength
levels. Missouri is banned from postseason play and Ole Miss isn’t, so
the motivation should be with the Rebels.  If the Landshark defense
can get to Tiger QB Kelly Bryant early, Ole Miss can steal one in
Pick: Ole Miss 28  Missouri 24

Arkansas (2-3) at Kentucky (2-3)
Line: Wildcats -6.5 / 53.5
Time/TV: 6:30 / SECN
The Wildcats and the Hogs both come off a bye week and both are
brimming with optimism for a win in this game.  The Wildcats hope to
jump start their season by beating the Razorbacks at home. If Kentucky
wins, HC Mark Stoops team could conceivably go 5-1 the rest of the
season.  The ‘Cats travel to Georgia and Vanderbilt and then have home
games with Missouri, Tennessee, Tenn. Martin and Louisville. All of
those games are winnable except for Georgia. Meanwhile the Hogs
desperately need to win to have a chance of finishing 4-3 and becoming
bowl eligible.  Arkansas still has to face #12 Auburn, #5 LSU, #1
Alabama, Mississippi State and Missouri. All of those games are
leaning towards the Hog’s loss column. Wildcats get the jump start
they need versus the hapless Hogs.
Pick: Kentucky 33 Arkansas 30

#7 Florida (6-0) at #5 LSU (5-0)
Line: Tigers -13.5 / 56
Time/TV: 7:00 / ESPN
Let the battle begin. A night game in Baton Rouge between #7 and
#5 will be the premier game in the land this Saturday night. Apologies
to # 6 Oklahoma and #11 Texas, but it just doesn’t get any better than
a Cajun festival of revelry and tawdriness to set the tone for the
rest of the year.  Florida knocked off #7 Auburn in the Swamp last
week but has a taller task with #5 LSU in a night game in Death
Valley. Tiger QB Joe Burrow has thrust himself into elite status and
is the sleeper to win this year’s Heisman Trophy. Burrow’s passed for
1864 yds and 22 TD’s and so far is making all the right moves.  LSU ‘s
defense doesn’t have the star power of year’s past, and will need to
man up this week. Florida’s defense relishes the opportunity to show
LSU’s Ed Ogeron that they can beat the Cajun spread offense. Gators HC
Dan Mullen will pull out all the tricks in his gator-skin bag but it
won’t be enough to tame the Tigers.
Pick: LSU 42  Florida 33


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