SEC Football Predictions – Week 12

by Dan M | Posted on Friday, November 15th, 2019

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ROBERT CORTINEZ                                                                                                                                          RCORTINEZ2@HOTMAIL.COM

    The new heavyweight champion of the SEC and the nation, Ed Ogeron’s LSU Tigers, straight out of the bayous of Baton Rouge.  Congrats to the whole state of Louisiana and journeyman QB and new Heisman front runner, Joe Burrows. Burrows was 31 for 39, 393 yards, and three TD’s but his running back mate, Baton Rouge native Clyde Edwards-Helaire, was the difference-maker for the Tigers.  Edwards-Helaire ran for 103 yards on 20 rushes with 3 TD’s, and caught 9 balls for 77 yards and one TD. This dynamic duo lit up the national stage Saturday night as the Bayou Bengals became the front runner in this year’s CFP lottery. The SEC also has the most teams in the second week of CFP rankings with five  teams (#1 LSU, #4 Georgia, #5 Alabama, #11 Florida, #12 Auburn) in the top 12 spots. That’s almost half if you’re counting.

    The other big news out of the SEC was the mercy firing of Arkansas’s Chad Morris after going 4-18 in his first 22 games and winless in SEC games (0-14) while in Fayetteville. The firing will allow Morris to not have to list two consecutive, 2-10 seasons, on his coaching resume. Appalachian State showed why their head coach Eliah Dwinkwitz is a dark horse candidate for the Razorback job, as his Mountaineers beat South Carolina in a road game in Columbia.  The aforementioned Hogs and Volunteers are off this week.

    M&M’s picks were 3-2 last week.  M&M’s picks this week: Alabama, Ohio State, Wake Forest, Baylor, Texas A&M, Boise St., and the Over in the Wake Forest /Clemson game.

Last week results: Straight 5-2;  ATL 4-3                                                                                                                                                   Season Results:  70-18; ATL 49-36-3

#3 Alabama (8-1) at Mississippi St. (4-5)

Line:  Tide  -21 / 63.5

Time/TV:   11:00 a.m / ESPN

    The Crimson Tide will be gunning for big game after losing to LSU, 46-41 in Tuscaloosa.  LSU was simply the better team but may have caught a break with Bama’s QB, Tua Taglovoila, hobbled with an ankle injury. Regardless of who starts this week for L’il Nicky, his boys are coming in hungry.  The Bulldogs are trying their hardest to get to a bowl but his week’s game ain’t gonna help that cause. State finishes the season with Abilene Christian and then Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl, so the Bulldogs can still make that magical-mediocre 6 win threshold to a bowl destination.  State HC Joe Morehead needs to just be relevant in this game and not allow Bama to bring in the reserves too early in the second half .                                              Pick:  Alabama 40  Mississippi State 13

#10 Florida (8-2) at Missouri (4-5) 

Line:  Gators  -7 / 50 .5

Time/TV:  11:00, CBS

    Florida HC Dan Mullens has his Gators just outside the CFP top 10 in only his second year in Gainesville. This man is a coach, no ifs, ands or buts. He started the year off beating archrival Miami in week zero and his only losses since have been to #4 Georgia and # 1 LSU. Lest we forget,  the Gators lost starting QB, Feliepe Franks in week two, and QB-whisperer Dan Mullens brings in Kyle Trask (2011 yds, 19 TD’s, 6 interceptions) who hasn’t missed a beat. I’ve been down on Missouri all year and the Tiger’s have justified the disdain by losing every road game, including week one to Wyoming. The Tigers didn’t win the lottery with QB Kelly Bryant, who’s been a huge disappointment across the board. Gators roll in Columbia            Pick:  Florida 44  Missouri 24

#6 Georgia (8-1) at #11 Auburn (7-2) 

Line:  Bulldogs  -3 / 41

Time/TV:   2:30 / CBS

   This game is crucial for Georgia’s quest to make the CFP for the second time in HC Kirby Smart’s three years at the helm of the Dawg’s program.  Georgia destroyed Missouri last week, 27-0, but will face a ferocious opponent in Auburn on the Plains. Tigers HC Gus Malzahn needs to justify his $7 million dollar price tag and still has an outside shot at making the CFP’s.  Auburn’s only losses are to #11 Florida and #1 LSU, by only 3 points, and don’t forget the Tigers beat # 6 Oregon in their opener. Auburn’s resume is solid and its SEC muscle is flexed across the United States. Georgia’s loss to South Carolina is somewhat tempered by wins over Notre Dame and Florida, but the Dawgs have to put in another gear to win this road game and scramble  Auburn’s Freshman QB, Bo Nix, into a panic in the pocket.  Pick:  Georgia 20  Auburn 19  

Kentucky (4-5) at Vanderbilt (2-7)

Line:  Wildcats  -8.5 / 43.5

Time/TV:   2:30 / SECN  

    The “who cares” game of the week will be played in Nashville as the “Dores welcome the ‘Cats into Vanderbilt Stadium. Kentucky still has hopes of a bowl season after winning a school record 11 games last year.  HC Mark Stoops has to beat Vandy and then beat Tennessee-Martin next week to get bowl eligible. The Wildcats could win out if they beat Louisville in the season finale and garner a respectable 7-5 season in what was considered a down year.  This Vandy team looked lackluster last week losing to Florida, 56-0. Don’t expect many Vanderbilt students to show up for this game.

Pick:  Kentucky 27  Vanderbilt 20 

#1 LSU (9-0) at Ole Miss (4-6)

Line:  Tigers  -21 / 64.5

Time/TV:   6:00 /  ESPN

   LSU is the surprise, unexpected offensive juggernaut in college football so far this year.  The Tigers are ranked #1 in passing completion percentage, #2 in passing offense and #4 in total offense.  HC Ed Ogeron is the darling of the college football world and this year’s national championship is his to lose after ousting Alabama in Tuscaloosa last week 46-41.  This LSU team has the offensive mojo to complement the Tigers always, stalwart defense. Ole Miss’ efforts to become bowl eligible run into a brick wall this week. Rebels HC Matt Luke is a likable guy but even his high priced coaching crew won’t be able to surmount #1 LSU’s machine-like efficiency on the offensive side of the ball. Ole Miss’s only redemption is an Egg Bowl victory in two weeks against Mississippi State.        Pick:  LSU 37  Ole Miss 20


South Carolina (4-6) at Texas A&M (6-3)

Line:  Aggies  -10.5 / 50.5

Time/TV:  6:30 / SECN

    As readers are probably aware, this column has no love lost for Texas A&M and its coach, Jimbo Fisher, who is getting about a million dollars per win so far this year.  However, the Aggies have been dealt a disservice by the CFP committee. The CFP stresses quality wins and strength of schedule as its main criteria in its ranking process.  The Aggies three losses this year were to #3 Clemson, #5 Alabama, and #12 Auburn. However the CFP rankings do not include the Aggies, but do include three other 6-3 teams, (#19 Texas, #20 Iowa, #23 Kansas State) whose losses don’t begin to compare with A&M’s. Not to mention that the Aggies finish this season with #5 Georgia and #1 LSU. Got to be the toughest schedule in  America. South Carolina looks to have let go of the rope after getting beat at home by Appalachian State, 20-15. A&M has to consider that this game may be its last victory of 2019 and will try to make it a home field blow-out.  Pick:  Texas A&M 33 South Carolina 14


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