SEC Football – Week 13 Predictions

by Dan M | Posted on Friday, November 22nd, 2019

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ROBERT CORTINEZ                                                                                                                                         RCORTINEZ2@HOTMAIL.COM

     Cupcake cornucopia.  The betting lines for five of the eight SEC contests are over 30 points, (Alabama -57,  Auburn -48.5, LSU -44, Mississippi State -37, Kentucky -30), and the “average” for the listed favorites is a whopping 43 points.  The sad part to this season ending, soft scheduling trend is that the once proud Arkansas Razorbacks are included as a not so proud member of the cupcake parade.  Woe Pig Sooie.

     One little rant, before the predictions.     Texas A&M is once again snubbed by the buffoons on the CFP committee. The 7-3 Aggie’s losses were to # 3 Clemson, # 5 Alabama and #15 Auburn.  The CFP committee left out A&M this week but included two other 7-3 teams, #17 Iowa and #21 Oklahoma State.  An argument can be made for Iowa whose losses were to #8  Penn State, #12 Wisconsin and #13 Michigan. However, Oklahoma State’s losses were to #14 Baylor, to an unranked Texas team and to a 4-6 Texas Tech team that was beaten by Kansas. Not to mention, the committee’s completely unfathomable inclusion of two 6-4 teams, Iowa State and USC, instead of A&M. The Aggies finish with #4 Georgia and # 1 LSU and most likely will go 7-5, but all five losses would be to a top 10 team.

Get it right morons, expand to eight teams,  put folks who know football on the committee and stop playing favorites based on your regional bias.  Okay, deep breaths, love and peace, I’m done.

Florida, South Carolina and Ole Miss are off this week.

Last week results: Straight 6-0; ATS 4-1-1                                                                                                                                                 Season results: Straight 76-18;  ATS 53-37-4

 M&M’s picks were 4-3 last week but he’s got high confidence in his picks this week:  Minnesota, Mississippi State, Oregon, Boise State, Over on Kansas State /Texas Tech.

W. Carolina (3-8) at #5 Alabama (9-1)

Line:  Tide  -57 / 65

Time/TV:   11:00 a.m / ESPN

     The Tua show gives way to the Mac Jones era, who in all likelihood will be the Tide’s quarterback for next year also.  Tagovailoa’s hip surgery should be an end to an outstanding athlete’s college career and he will be missed for his play and his high character.  With Auburn looming next week Alabama will play conservatively and take no chances in this mismatch.  Pick:  Alabama 51  Western Carolina 6

Samford (5-6) at #15 Auburn (4-5) 

Line:  Tigers  -48.5 / 52

Time/TV:  11:00, SECN

    Much like Bama, The Tigers will have to treat this contest as a practice game and ensure the health of Auburn’s players for the impending Iron Bowl.  Auburn’s 21-14 loss to Georgia last week has made the Tiger’s season’s success wholly dependent on next week’s outcome.  Like A&M, Auburn’s three losses were to top 10 teams (#1 LSU, #4 Georgia, #10 Florida) and this Tiger squad will put a governor on the Auburn engine and still blow out Samford.  Pick:  Auburn 38  Samford 0

Texas A&M (7-3) at #4 Georgia (9-1) 

Line:  Bulldogs  -13.5 / 45

Time/TV:   2:30 / CBS

    Aggies HC JImbo Fisher has played the toughest schedule of the 130 teams in theFBS, period.  A&M will play its third team ranked in the AP and CFP top 5 when they travel to Athens this week. Next week, the Aggies get their fourth team ranked in the top five, #1 LSU.  Georgia will need to put the pedal to the metal in this marquee match-up or the Aggies could steal one between the hedges.  Pick:  Georgia 27  Texas A&M 20

UT Martin (7-4) at Kentucky (5-5)

Line:  Wildcats  -30 / 54

Time/TV:   2:30 / SECN 

    There are three “who cares” games this week and this is one of them.  Kentucky has performed admirably this year in a rebuilding campaign after going 11-2 last year.  But unless you live in Lexington there’s zero interest in this affair. The Wildcats get bowl eligible, congrats Coach Mark Stoops, you know your game.  Pick:  Kentucky  33  UT Martin 10 

E.Tennessee St. (3-8) at Vanderbilt (2-7)

Line:  NL

Time/TV:   2:30 / SEC Alternate

    The second “who cares” game, is even worse than the aforementioned.  Vandy HC Derek Mason did get an endorsement from his AD, probably a reaction to Arkansas’s Chad Morris being fired with an identical 2-8 record, but I digress.  The Commodores win their third game of the season and meet hated in-state rival Tennnesee next week for their annual end of the year showdown.  Pick:  Vanderbilt 40  ETSU 20

Arkansas (2-8) at #1 LSU (10-0)

Line:  Tigers  -44 / 69

Time/TV:  6:00 / ESPN

    LSU will be the first team to face the Razorbacks without fired HC Chad Morris.  The Hogs will be a better team with interim HC Barry Lunney at the helm. Lunney was Arkansas’s quarterback from 1992-1995 and in 1995 he led the Hogs to an SEC West Division title which was also the last time the Hogs beat Alabama. All those good memories will be for naught in this Baton Rouge night game but Arkansas will cover this bloated line. And who knows, if Barry Lunney somehow marshalls the football universe’s cosmic karma and pulls off the upset of the century he will be the next head coach of the Arkansas Razorbacks. Pick:  LSU 38  Arkansas 13

Abilene Christian (5-6) at Miss. St. (4-6)

Line:  Bulldogs  -37 / 55

Time/TV: 6:30 / SEC Alternate

    Coaches always say they never look past this week’s opponent but Mississippi State is most likely looking to next week’s Egg Bowl and chalking this game up as a win. Abilene Christian, an FCS school, is in 7th place in the Southland Conference but the Wildcats did put up 27 points against #14 Baylor. Unless you live in Starkville,  this is the third “who cares” game on this week’s slate.  Pick:  Mississippi State 42  ACU 10

Tennessee (5-5) at Missouri (5-5)

Line:  Tigers  -4 / 45.5

Time/TV:  6:30 SECN

    The Volunteers have hustled and scrapped since opening the season 0-2 against Georgia Southern and BYU.  Tennessee has gone 5-3 since and the losses were to #4 Georgia, #5 Alabama and #10 Florida. This team should be 7-3 but can still finish with seven wins if they beat Missouri and Vanderbilt next week.  Missouri looks to have thrown in the towel and are bowl banned even if they get to six wins.  Pick:  Tennessee 27  Missouri 24


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