SEC Game Predictions – Week 14

by Dan M | Posted on Monday, December 2nd, 2019

Image result for Auburn Alabama football                                                                       By ROBERT CORTINEZ                                                                                                                                          RCORTINEZ2@HOTMAIL.COM 

    Rivalry week is fully engaged as every SEC team plays its in-state rival or “made for TV” rival in this last week of regular season college football.  LSU didn’t cover the spread last week against Arkansas and the bumbling fools on the CFP committee dropped the Tigers from #1 to #2. If this ranking stays true to the end, LSU would be playing undefeated and defending champ #3 Clemson instead of a one-loss #4 Big 12, Big 10 or Pac 12 seed and the LSU fans aren’t happy. But who knows, LSU could get beat by Georgia in two weeks and Ohio State could get beat by Michigan this week and we could have three one-loss SEC teams in the top four seeds with Clemson. If that doesn’t compel the CFP committee, television networks, and big money to expand to eight teams in a hurry, nothing will.                                                                                                               Last week’s results: Straight 8-0; ATL: 4-3                                                                                                                                             Season results:   Straight: 84-18; ATL  57-40-4

M&M’s picks were 4-1 last week and he has high confidence again in this week’s picks:  Boise St., Cincinnati, Appalachian St., Baylor, Navy, and Liberty.

Ole Miss (4-7) at Mississippi State (5-6)                                                                                                                                                        Line:  Bulldogs  -2.5 / 58                                                                                                                                                                              Time/TV:   Thursday, 6:30 / ESPN

 The Bulldog’s season is on the line at this final home stand in Starkville.  State HC Joe Moorehead needs this game in a bad way to quell some hater’s and get to bowl eligibility for the second time in his two years as head coach.  Ole Miss’s chance to a bowl game are gone but if the Rebs could take this year’s Egg Bowl rivalry game, pride would be salvaged.                                 Pick:  Mississippi State 24  Ole Miss 21

Missouri (5-6) at Arkansas (2-9)                                                                                                                                                                    Line:  Tigers  -12.5 / 54.5                                                                                                                                                                             Time/TV:  Friday, 1:30 / CBS

    The Tigers have played themselves into mediocrity even with the services of supposed savior, QB Kelly Bryant.  Bryant has thrown for 2200 yards and 15 TD’s but his 59.4 QBR is ranked 67th in the country. Getting beat by Tennessee at home last week makes it four losses in a row for Missouri.  The Razorbacks were beat by #1 LSU, 56-20 last week but showed signs of life after firing HC Chad Morris. Arkansas will be playing in the Rock, its capital city, and expectations are high that they’ll be a big crowd for this newly minted “battleline” rivalry. Going with a pure homer pick this week in the hopes of a little piggee resurgence.  Pick:  Arkansas 34  Missouri 31

#3 Clemson (11-0) at South Carolina (4-7)                                                                                                                                                    Line:  Tigers  -27 / 50.5                                                                                                                                                                  Time/TV:  Saturday, 11:00am / ESPN

    The Clemson Tigers have been a relatively “quiet” #3 CFP seed. HC Dabo Sweeney has kept his team focused as they beat their last four opponents by 45 points or more.  Clemson has one hurdle left after this in state rivalry game, the ACC Championship Game against either Virginia or Virginia Tech. South Carolina ain’t going bowling this year and fans are disappointed but the early season upset of #3 Georgia will keep HC Will Muschamp coaching the Gamecocks for a couple of more years.  Pick:  Clemson 48  South Carolina 17

 #4 Georgia (10-1) at Georgia Tech (3-8)                                                                                                                                       Line: Bulldogs  -28.5 / 46.5                                                                                                                                                                               Time/TV:   11:00am / ESPN

    Georgia passed its final, stern test of the season holding on to beat Texas A&M last week in a close 13-9 win.  Both the Bulldog’s and Aggie’s defenses were stalwarts and that’s the difference between the SEC and other conferences.  This is almost a breather game for HC Kirby Smart, as the Yellow Jackets are dismal this year.with one of its losses to the Citadel.  However the Dawg’s will need to pay attention lest they suffer the same fate dealt to them by South Carolina. Not to mention that the CFP rankings could give Alabama a push past Georgia if the Dawgs don’t dominate Georgia Tech.  A lot more than a simple win is needed here.   Pick:  Georgia 41  Georgia Tech 0

Louisville (7-4) at Kentucky (6-5)                                                                                                                                                                   Line:  Wildcats  -3 / 52                                                                                                                                                                               Time/TV:   11:00am / SECN

   The battle in the bluegrass for the Governor’s Cup features two evenly matched squads.  Two of Louisville’s losses were to #3 Clemson and #15 Notre Dame and two of Kentucky’s losses were to #4 Georgia and #11 Florida.  Both teams have played upper echelon competition, but overall the SEC’s conference games were tougher than Louisville’s ACC slate. Going with the home team and my man, Kentucky HC Mark Stoops.  Pick:  Kentucky 27  Louisville 21

#5 Alabama (10-1) at #15 Auburn (8-3)                                                                                                                                                          Line:  Tide  -3.5 / 50                                                                                                                                                                                    Time/TV:  2:30 / CBS

    This year’s Iron Bowl has mammoth implications for college football.  Alabama must win to have a shot to sneaking in to the CFP’s. The Tide will also have to do it without QB Tua Tagulovoila.  Bama’s second string QB, Mac Jones, has won his only two starts but they were against lowly Arkansas and Western Carolina. Auburn lost to #4 Georgia in a close game two weeks ago and would like nothing better than to spoil their hated rival’s shot at the playoffs. Looking for the Auburn defense to shut down the Tides offense in this prime time game on the Plains of Auburn.                                                                           Pick:  Auburn 20   Alabama 17  

Vanderbilt (3-8) at Tennessee (6-5)                                                                                                                                                              Line:  Vols  -21.5 / 45                                                                                                                                                                                   Time/TV: 3:00 / SECN

    Vanderbilt has beaten Tennessee three years in a row in this rivalry game between two of the founding members of the southeastern conference. Tennessee is enjoying a four-game winning streak and looks to cap off an up and down season with a solid victory. Vanderbilt looks to survive this contest with some measure of dignity and avoid a blow-out in a down year for the Commodores.  The Vols get it done in 100,000+ Neyland Stadium.   Pick:  Tennessee 44  Vanderbilt 17

Texas A&M (7-4) at #1 LSU (11-0)                                                                                                                                                                   Line:  Tigers  -17 / 63.5                                                                                                                                                                                            Time/TV:  6:00 ESPN

    The Aggies fought well last week,losing 13-9, and were a first down away from taking the lead against #4 Georgia in Athens. Their “reward” for playing well is a chance at beating #1 LSU and giving HC Jimbo Fisher a signature win his second year at the head of Texas A&M’s program.  LSU HC Ed Orgeron was stymied by some official’s blundering calls in last year’s historic seven overtime, 74-72 loss in College Station. That game stands as the record for combined points (146) in FBS history. The Tigers are hot under the collar after dropping a spot by only beating Arkansas, 56-20.  LSU’s QB Joe Burrow should have his way with the Aggies porous secondary.  Pick:  LSU 35  Texas A&M 14

Florida State (6-5) at #11 Florida (9-2)                                                                                                                                                            Line:  Gators  -17.5 / 53.5                                                                                                                                                                            Time/TV:  6:00 ESPN

   The Gators had last week off to rest up and prepare for its traditional Sunshine Showdown game against in-state rival Florida State.  The Seminoles fired HC Willie Taggert after getting beat by Miami and starting his second season 4-5. Since then, interim HC Odell Haggins has gone 2-0.  Interestingly, Coach Haggins was also 2-0 as interim HC in 2017 before Taggert was pegged for the job. So Haggin is currently batting 1.000 as FSU head coach at a perfect 4-0.  That perfection will end in Gainesville when second-year, Florida HC Dan Mullen coaches his team to its second double digit victory total.      Pick:  Florida 38  Florida State 13

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