Week 14 Big 12 Game Predictions

by Dan M | Posted on Saturday, November 29th, 2014


By Wendell Barnhouse

A half dozen regular-season games remain in the Big 12 Conference and three of those will be contested Saturday.
Baylor and Kansas State will each be seeking wins that would keep them tied atop the standings with TCU, which moved to 7-1 in Big 12 play with its 48-10 victory at Texas Thursday night.
The Bears will take on Texas Tech at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
“All of our focus and energy right now is on Texas Tech,” Baylor coach Art Briles said. “There is no Saturday past this Saturday at Arlington.”
Kansas State, which will host the Sunflower Showdown against Kansas, will be in Waco on Dec. 6 to face Baylor. The Wildcats still have a shot at winning a share of the Big 12 title; their only league loss came to TCU.
“You have to look at every game like it is a championship game regardless of what their record is or what our record is,” K-State senior wide receiver Tyler Lockett said. “It does not matter what your record is or what your offense or defense is like before this game because everything changes. It is just one of those deals in which it is hard to scout because you are going to get something different than what you saw on film.”
West Virginia will play its final regular-season game at Iowa State. The Mountaineers have qualified for a bowl game but a victory over the Cyclones would give West Virginia a winning record in its third season in the Big 12.
Also, the Mountaineers would like to avenge last year’s triple-overtime loss to Iowa State in Morgantown – a game where they couldn’t hold a 24-point lead.

Saturday’s Games
All Times Central

W. Virginia (4-4,6-5) at Iowa St (0-7,2-8)
Line:  Mountaineers  -12.5 / 63

Need to know: 11 a.m. kick
Where:  Jack Trice Stadium, Aimes, Iowa
TV:  FS1
Scouting West Virginia: It’s uncertain if senior quarterback Clint Trickett, who left last week’s game with an injury, will be able to play. If he can’t, sophomore Skyler Howard will likely get the call. The Mountaineers’ running game has been consistent all season and they might try to rely on the ground game to take the pressure off Howard.
Scouting Iowa State:  The Cyclones will try to celebrate Senior Day by gaining their first Big 12 victory. Quarterback Sam Richardson has had an outstanding season throwing and running the ball despite nagging injuries of late. Iowa State’s defense has been a disappointment, allowing 37 points and 505 total yards per game. A big reason is that seven underclassmen are starting on defense.
This and that:  Iowa State defeated West Virginia, 52-44, in triple overtime last season. The Cyclones rallied from a 24-point deficit, the biggest comeback in school history. … The Mountaineers have scored just 36 points in their last two games. … West Virginia senior wide receiver Kevin White was selected one of three finalists for the Biletnikoff Award.
Pick:  Mountaineers by 8 / 28-20

Texas Tech (2-6, 4-7) vs. Baylor (6-1, 9-1)
Line:  Bears -26 / 80

Need to know:   2:30 p.m kick
Where:  AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas, TV:  ABC
Scouting Texas Tech:   The Red Raiders’ quarterback situation is uncertain. Sophomore Davis Webb, if he’s recovered from an ankle injury, could start. If not, freshman Patrick Mahomes (who has thrown for eight touchdowns in the last two games) will be the man.
Texas Tech is 121 out of 125 teams in rushing defense and will be facing a team that is 20th nationally in rushing offense, averaging 239 yards per game.
Scouting Baylor:   The fifth-ranked Bears will be intent on “showing off” for the College Football Playoff committee. Baylor leads the nation in scoring and total offense and figures to put plenty of pressure on a Texas Tech defense that has struggled. The Bears are second in the Big 12 in pass defense and sacks while ranking No. 1 in rushing defense.
This and that:   Baylor has averaged 60 points a game while beating Texas Tech the last three years playing at AT&T Stadium.  Baylor sophomore running back Shock Linwood had a career-high 187 yards rushing in last year’s game. … The Bears and the Red Raiders have faced off at AT&T Stadium or the Cotton Bowl every season since 2009.
PICK:  Bears by 14 / 52-38

Kansas (1-7, 3-8) at K- State (6-1, 8-2)
Line:  K-State -27.5 / 57.5

Need to know: 3 p.m kick
Where:  Bill Snyder Family Stadium
TV:  FS1
Scouting Kansas:   The Jayhawks’ late-season momentum was dampened by last week’s lopsided loss at Oklahoma. Senior quarterback Michael Cummings seeks to bounce back from a poor performance that saw the offense fail to score against the Sooners. KU’s defense was gashed by a record-setting performance but this week faces a K-State running attack that has struggled of late.
Scouting Kansas State:   The 11th-ranked Wildcats still have a shot at earning a share of the Big 12 championship. K-State’s pass-catch combination of Jake Waters and Tyler Lockett has been the straw stirring the offense.
The running game production has become a concern. In the last two games, the Wildcats have gained 35 yards on 48 carries after averaging 182.8 rushing yards in the previous five conference games.
This and that:   K-State has won the last five games with Kansas and coach Bill Snyder has an 18-4 record against the Jayhawks. … The Wildcats have won 24 of the last 25 at home against unranked schools. … Kansas has dropped 11 in a row on the road against ranked teams since a 30-24 win over No. 24 Kansas State on Oct. 6, 2007.
PICK:  Wildcats by 30 / 37-7


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