SEC Game Day – Week 13

by Dan M | Posted on Friday, November 25th, 2016

SEC.Ark

The SEC championship is set with the Gators taking on the Tide in Atlanta.  Tennessee would have been at the table but an overconfident, under-coached LSU team lost to the Gators, 16-10, in Baton Rouge.  This week’s slate of SEC match-ups is all about  border wars, inter-conference rivalries and pride.   (Season results:  Straight 76-24;  ATS: 49-40.)

Thursday 11/24

LSU (-7) 6-4 @ Texas A&M 8-3  ( ESPN;  6:30 p.m.)

LSU interim HC Ed Orgeron had to win out to just to have a shot at keeping his job.  Didn’t happen.  The Tigers got bushwhacked in Baton Rouge and will  get more of the same in Aggie Land.  A&M HC Kevin Summerlln is looking for a New Year’s day bowl invite.

Pick: Texas A&M 24   LSU 20

Friday 11/25

Arkansas (-8) 7-3 @ Missouri 3-8 ( CBS; 1:30 p.m.)

The Razorbacks ruined Mississippi State’s shot at a fifth straight bowl game and established several records for sophomore RB, Rawleigh Williams III, along the way (205 yards, 13 yards per carry, 4 rushing TD’s, 1 passing TD).  Arkansas squeaks out a win to justify HC Brett Bielema’s methodology.

Pick:  Arkansas 29  Missouri 23

Saturday 11/26

Georgia Tech (+4)  7-4 @ Georgia 7-4 (SECN; 11:00 a.m.)

Georgia’s loss to Vanderbilt two weeks ago isn’t as hurtful after the Commodres defeated Ole Miss last week. Throw in Georgia’s win win over Auburn and the Dawgs first season under HC Kirby Smart is looking promising.  Georgia Tech has the same record which includes a win last week over #14 Virgina Tech.  The Rambling Wreck has played several ranked teams this year and  have held their own.

Pick:  Georgia Tech 30  Georgia 28

Kentucky (+26) 6-5 @  #11 Louisville 9-2  (ESPN; 11:00 p.m.)

Kentucky has placed a team in contention for a bowl game, finally, in HC Mark Stoop’s fourth year.  The Wildcats have two 1,000 yard rushers, Stanley Williams and Benny Snell Jr., for the first time in Wildcat history. Louisville is out of the college football playoffs after losing to Houston last week so it’s pride time for Bobby Petrino’s Cardinals and his Hesiman Trophy contender QB Lamar Jackson (3100 passing yds, 28 TD”s;1300 rushing yards, 19 TD’s).

Pick:  Louisville 41  Kentucky 20

#13 Auburn (+17) 8-3 @ #1  Alabama 11-0 ( CBS; 2:30 p.m.)

This game is one of two on the SEC slate with potential national implications.   Auburn had a close opening season loss to #4 Clemson and has been salty ever since, losing close road games to A&M and Georgia.  Alabama  has to play quality, mistake-free football after getting walk-over wins over  Chatanooga and Mississippi State the last two weeks.  Tide HC Nick Saban shows his coaching mettle on his way to Atlanta and the SEC Championship.

Pick:  Alabama 27  Auburn 17

Mississippi St. (+8) 4-7 @ Ole Miss 5-6 ( SECN;  2:30)

Mississippi State gave up 58 points to Arkansas in a home loss last week, dashing any hope of a sixth  consecutive bowl game. Ole Miss’s heralded freshman QB, Shea Patterson, was shut down by a tenacious Vandy defense last week and  he is 1-1 as Chad Kelly’s replacement.  Ole Miss is still fighting for a bowl and needs an Egg Bowl victory to get to the postseason.

Pick:  Ole Miss 30  Mississippi State 24

South Carolina (+24) 6-5 @ #4 Clemson 10-1 ( ESPN;  6:30)

The Gamecocks have their bowl game in first year HC will Muschamp’s first year by underwhelminginly beating Western Carolina, 44-13, last week.  Clemson HC Dabo Swinney is eying a much bigger prize and will not allow South Carolina the opportunity to knock his Tigers out of the CFP’s.  The stakes are high and Dabo coaches his team accordingly.

Pick:  Clemson 44  South Carolina 14

#17 Tennessee (-7.5) 8-3 @ Vanderbilt 5-6 (SECN;  6:30) 

Vanderbilt is simply the most unpredictable team in the SEC.  The Commodores beat Georgia in Athens and blew out Ole Miss in Nashville, 38-17, giving HC Derek Mason his biggest SEC win at Vanderbilt.  The D’ores totaled 481 yards  of total offense including 124 yards rushing by Ralph Webb. The Tennessee Volunteers beat Missouri 63-37 but are still under-achieving.  Vandy’s # 5 ranked SEC  defense rises to the occassion.

Pick:  Vanderbilt  23   Tennessee 22

#15 Florida (+7.5) 8-2 @ #14 Florida St. 8-3   (ABC ; 7:00 p.m.)

The Gators shocked the SEC world last week beating LSU, 16-10, in Baton Rouge.  Florida was a 14 point underdog and relied on its stellar defense to keep LSU out of the end zone after LSU got a first and goal from the Gators 5 yard line.  Florida State  is 5-1 in its last six games, their only loss was a three point 37-34 setback against #4 Clemson..  The Seminoles get the home field advantage win.

Pick:  Florida State 31    Florida 22

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